Báo cáo thường niên ngành cà phê Việt Nam 2008 và triển vọng 2009 (TA)

VIETNAM’S COFFE SECTOR IN 2008 AND OUTLOOK FOR 2009

The Information Center for Agriculture and Rural Development (AGROINFO), Institute of Policy and Strategy for Agriculture and Rural Development (IPSARD) has issued the “Vietnam’s coffee sector in 2008 and outlook for 2009” on the series of analytical reports on commodities. In Vietnam, this has been the first report offering updated and comprehensive analyses of factors affecting coffee market in 2008 and outlook for 2009.

The report is composed of 4 main parts: i) Domestic coffee production in 2008; ii) Vietnam’s coffee consumption; iii) Vietnamese coffee export in 2008; iv) Vietnamese coffee exporters in 2008; v) The world coffee market in 2008; vi) Outlook for coffee market in 2009.

“Vietnam’s coffee sector in 2008 and outlook for 2009” serves as a useful reference for policy markers, researchers, donors, individuals and organizations both locally and internationally, especially for the businesses producing and trading coffee in Vietnam. All of the information and data in this report have been obtained from these reputable Vietnamese and foreign sources as follows: Ministry of Policy and Strategy for Agriculture and Rural Development, Ministry of Investment and Planning, General Statistics Office, General Department of Vietnam Customs, International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank (WB), Economic Research Service (ERS) – a market research agents under the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA):, Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) and others.

We would like to extend our most sincere gratitude to the leader of the Institute of Policy and Strategy for Agriculture and Rural Development for their valuable support. We would also like to thank the specialists and colleagues both inside and outside the Institute for their support and cooperation in the completion of this report. We would wish to express our gratitude for their support in our tasks as an independent information and consultancy unit for ministries, departments and the businesses as a whole.

Basic Information

Release date:
19/03/2009 for Vietnamese version

20/07/2009 for English version

• Price:
1,000,000 for Vietnamese version

2,000,000 VND for English version

(Price does not include VAT and shipping cost)

Form of payment: Account transfer

For further information, kindly contact:

For being consulted about content: Commodity analysis department:
Mr. Nguyen Quoc Chinh - Email: info@agro.gov.vn

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Ms. An Thu Hang - YM: banhang_agro
Tel: (84.4) 07.88.256.256 - 07.88.256.256/ – Fax: (84.4) 39726949
Email: banhang_agro@yahoo.com

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

FOREWORD

LIST OF FIGURES

LIST OF TALBES

LIST OF BOXES

LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS0

SUMMARY

PART I: DOMESTIC PRODUCTION

1. Planted area

2. Production

3. Yield

PART 2: VIETNAM’S COMSUMPTION OF COFFEE

1. By economic region

2. By residence

3. By income group

PART 3: COFFEE EXPORT OF VIETNAM IN 2008

1. Export by type of coffee

2. Coffee export by market

2.1 Top 10 markets for Vietnam coffee in terms of the value in 2008

2.2 Top 10 markets for Vietnam coffee in terms of value growth in 2008 (Market with value of over USD 5 million)

PART 4: VIETNAM COFFEE EXPORT ENTERPRISE

1. Top 10 of coffee export enterprises in terms of value in 2008

2. Top 10 coffee exporters in terms of value growth in 2008 (value of over USD 1 million)

3. Export market of Vietnam coffee exporters in 2008

3.1 Market by export value of enterprise groups

3.2 Market share by export production of enterprise groups

3.4 Main export markets of top 10 coffee exporters

PART 5: WORLD COFFEE MARKET

1. World coffee production

1.1 Top 10 coffee producers of the world in 2008

1.2 Top 10 countries in coffee production growth in 2008 (countries having production of over 20 thousand tons)

2. Coffee price

3. Import demand

3.1 Top 10 countries in terms of coffee import value in the first 11 months of 2008

3.2 Top 10 countries in terms of coffee import growth in the first 11 months of 2008 (countries having import value of over USD 10 million)

PART 6: COFFEE MARKET OUTLOOK IN 2009

1. Outlook for coffee production in Vietnam and world

1.1 Outlook for coffee supply of Brazil

1.2 Outlook for coffee supply of Vietnam

1.3 Outlook for coffee supply of main producers

2. Outlook for the world coffee price

3. Market

3.1. Potential markets for world coffee export in 2009

3.2 Main markets for Vietnam coffee in 2009 (U.S., Germany, Japan)

3.3 Other potential markets for Vietnam coffee export in 2009

LIST OF FIGURES

Table 2: Monthly average coffee consumption value by economic regions (1000 VND/person)

Table 3: Monthly average coffee consumption volume by income group (kg/person)

Table 4: Average monthly consumption value by income group (1000 VND/person)

Table 5: Vietnam coffee export in years 2006-2008

Table 6: Allocation table of coffee export value by Vietnam enterprise groups in 2008

Table 7: Allocation table of coffee export structure by Vietnam enterprise group in 2008

Table 8: Coffee export price by Vietnam enterprise group in 2008

Table 9: World coffee production, years 2005-2008

Table 10: Coffee import value of some main countries, years 2006-2008 (million USD)

Table 11: Coffee production of Brazil, years 2005-2009

Table 12: Potential markets for world coffee export in 2009

Table 13: 3 major markets for Vietnam coffee export in

Table 14: Potential markets for Vietnam coffee in 2009

Table 14: Exchange rate of some basic currencies in months of 2008

Table 15: Coffee area of Vietnam in 2008 (thousand ha)

Table 16: Yield and production of Vietnam coffee, years of 2006- 2008 (thousand ha)

Table 17: Average monthly coffee consumption volume by residence (kg/person)

Table 18: Consumption value of average monthly coffee among economic regions (1000 VND/person)

Table 19: Average monthly coffee consumption value by residence (thousand VND/person/month)

Table 20: Average monthly coffee consumption value among income groups (1000 VND/person)

Table 21: Dak Lak coffee price in the country and average price for export in months of 2008

Table 22: Unroasted coffee export of Vietnam in 2008

Table 23: Roasted coffee export of Vietnam in 2008

Table 24: Value of Vietnam coffee export (HS:090190) in 2008

Table 25: Top 10 markets for market coffee in value in 2008

Table 26: Top 10 markets for Vietnam coffee in value growth in 2008 ( the markets having value of over 5 million USD)

Table 27: Top 10 markets in terms of coffee production in 2008

Table 28: Top 10 countries in terms of coffee production growth in 2008

Table 29: Top 10 Vietnamese enterprises in terms of coffee in 2008

Table 30: Top 10 Vietnamese enterprises in coffee export value growth in 2008 57

Table 31: Main markets of top 10 Vietnamese coffee exporters

Table 32: Price of Arabica Brazil coffee in U.S. and Germany in the period of 2007-2008 (USD/ton)

Table 33: Robusta coffee price in U.S and France in the period of 2007-2008 (USD/ton)

Table 34: Price of Colombia Arabica coffee and other Arabica coffee in 2008 (USD/ton)

Table 35: Price of Brazil Arabica and Robusta coffee in the period of 1999-2008 (USD/ton)

Table 36: Top 10 countries in terms of coffee import value in the first 11 months of 2008

Table 37: Top 10 countries in coffee import value growth in the first 11 months of 2008 (countries having value of over 10 million USD)

Table 38: Coffee export of Brazil to U.S. in 2008

Table 39: Coffee export of Indonesia to U.S. in 2008

Table 40: Coffee import of Germany in 2008

Table 41: Coffee import of Japan in 2008

Table 42: Vietnamese coffee production in the period of 2007-2008 and forecast for 2009

Table 43: Coffee price on New York market in the period of 2005-2008 and forecast for 2009 (USD/ton)

LIST OF TALBES

Figure 1: Coffee area of Vietnam in 2008 (thousand ha)

Figure 2: Structure of coffee area in 2 regions of Vietnam in 2008 (%)

Figure 3: Coffee area in some major provinces of Vietnam (thousand ha)

Figure 4: Vietnam coffee production in period of 2006-2008 (thousand tons)

Figure 5: Coffee production in 2 regions of Vietnam, years 2007-2008 (thousand tons)

Figure 6: Vietnam coffee yield in 2008 (quintal/ha)

Figure 7: Harvested coffee production in regions of Vietnam in 2008 (quintal/ha)

Figure 8: Rate of coffee consumption increase and rate of population growth of Vietnam in years of 2002-2008 (%) (Baseline = 2002)

Figure 9: Monthly average coffee consumption volume by residential area (kg/person)

Figure 10: Monthly average coffee consumption value by residence (thousand VND/person/month)

Table 11: Robusta coffee price in Dak Lak in 2008 (VND/kg)

Figure 12: Rate of increase/decrease between domestic coffee purchasing price and export one in 2008 (January 2008=100)

Figure 13: Export value of unroasted coffee (HS:09011) of Vietnam in months of 2008

Figure 14: Roasted coffee export value (HS:09012) of Vietnam by months of 2008 (thousand USD)

Figure 15: Export value of other types of coffee (HS: 090190) of Vietnam in months of 2008 (thousand USD)

Figure 16: Top 10 markets for Vietnam coffee in 2008 (million USD)

Figure 17: Import growth from Vietnam and world of top 10 markets for Vietnam coffee in 2008 over 2007 (%)

Figure 18: Coffee export value of top 10 markets for Vietnam coffee in terms of value growth in 2008 (million USD)

Figure 19: Top 10 of Vietnam coffee export enterprises in terms of value in 2008 (million USD)

Figure 20: Export value of 10 largest coffee exporters of Vietnam in value growth in 2008 (million USD)

Figure 21: Coffee export value to main markets of top 10 coffee exporters of Vietnam in 2008 (million USD)

Figure 22: Top 10 countries in terms of coffee production in 2008 (thousand tons)

Figure 23: Top 10 countries in terms of coffee production growth in 2008 (%)

Figure 24: Coffee transaction price in New York, years 1999-2008 (USD/ton)

Figure 25: Coffee export price of Brazil and Indonesia to U.S. market (1/2001-12/2008) – USD/ton

Figure 26: Coffee import price of Japan and Germany, years 2004-2008 (USD/ton)

Figure 27: Robusta and Arabica coffee trading price in New York in 2008 (USD/ton)

Figure 28: Coffee trading price in New York in 2008 (USD/ton)

Figure 29: Coffee export volume of Brazil and Indonesia to U.S. (1/2001-12/2008) –Unit: ton

Figure 30: Coffee import value of Germany and Japan (1/2001-12/2008) – USD

Figure 31: Top 10 countries in terms of coffee import value in the first 11 months of 2008 (million USD)

Figure 32: Top 10 countries in terms of coffee import value growth in the first 11 months of 2008 (%)

Figure 33: Vietnam coffee production in years of 2007-2008 and outlook for 2009 (%)

Figure 34: Arabica coffee price in New York, years of 2005-2008 and forecast in 2009 (USD/ton)

Figure 35: Robusta coffee price in New York, years of 2005-2008 and outlook for 2009 (USD/ton)

LIST OF BOXES

Box 1: The disease destroys coffee crop

Box 2: Open the first coffee trading floor in Vietnam

Box 3 The first coffee enterprise of Vietnam appears on the trading floor

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