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Báo cáo thường niên ngành Phân bón Việt Nam năm 2011 và triển vọng 2012 (TA)|Vietnam fertilizer industry in 2011 and outlook for 2012

 

Vietnam fertilizer industry in 2011 and outlook for 2012
 
Vietnam fertilizer industry in 2011 and outlook for 2012 published by Agroinfo is intended to provide comprehensive and up-to-date analyses of dominant factors over the domestic and global fertilizer industry in 2011 and prospects for Vietnam’s fertilizer industry in 2012.

The report includes major contents:
• Economic and agricultural situation affecting fertilizer market in 2011
• The world and domestic fertilizer supply-demand
• The price volatility
• Outlook for the market in 2012

Vietnam fertilizer industry in 2011 and outlook for 2012 will be a helpful reference for policymakers, international organizations, donors and the business community in drawing up business strategies. All the data presented in the report are obtained from publicized sources of reputable organizations including General Statistics Office, General Department of Vietnam Customs, Cultivation Department – Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development of Vietnam
 
Basic Information
Release date:
05/01/2012   for Vietnamese version
26/03/2012  for English version
• Price:
1,500,000 for Vietnamese version
2,000,000 VND for English version
Form of payment: Account transfer

For being consulted about content:
Commodity analysis department:
Trương Hồng Kim - Email:
info@agro.gov.vn

For placing an order: Customer services department:
Ms. An Thu Hang - YM: banhang_agro
Tel: (84.4) 04.62.93.86.32 - 012.88.256.256 – Fax: (84.4) 39726949
Email:
banhang_agro@yahoo.com
Online support


 
Customer service:
Tel: 04.62.93.86.32 - 012.88.256.256
Fax: 04.39726949
Email:
banhang_agro@yahoo.com


TABLE OF CONTENTS

ABBREVIATIONS
SUMMARY
I. The world fertilizer market
1.1 An unstable recovery of the world economy
1.2 The world agricultural market: unexpected price volatility
1.3 The world fertilizer market
1.3.1 Increased supply but excessive capacity
1.3.2 A good growth in South Asia and emerging markets
1.3.3 Stable upward trend in price
 

II. The domestic fertilizer market
2.1 Many fluctuations in macro-economics
2.2 Domestic agricultural market: Upward price and favorable weather
2.3 Stable fertilizer consumption
2.4 Stable domestic supply, increased import
2.4.1 Increased production capacity but unchanged output
2.4.2 A sharp rise in import volume and value
2.4.3 Unstable Urea and NPK import volume and downward trend in DAP import
2.4.4 China-the main importer
 

III. Domestic fertilizer price developments
3.1 Higher retail price than forecast
3.2 A sharp rise of import price
3.3 Causes of pricehike
IV. Outlook for Vietnam’s fertilizer market in 2012
4.1 Outlook for fertilizer supply-demand in Vietnam
4.2 Outlook for Vietnam’s fertilizer sector in 2012
 

APPENDIX 1
APPENDIX 2
ARIMA model
Forecast result for Urea price
Forecast result for DAP price

LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: FOOD PRICE INDEX through the crisis
Figure 2: Price volatility for several main food varieties
Figure 3: Production of several the world fertilizer varieties
Figure 4: Demand for the world fertilizer in 2011
Figure 5: Production of several main fertilizer varieties in the world
Figure 6: USD/VNĐ exchange rate volatility in 2011
Figure 7:Gasoline price volatility in 2010-2011
Figure 8: Domestic rice price volatility
Figure 9: Vietnam’s coffee price by month, years 2008-2011
Figure 10: Fertilizer demand in Vietnam by varieties, years 2007-2011
Figure 11: Fertilizer consumption indicator by month, years 2010-2011
Figure 12: Production of several main fertilizer varieties in Vietnam
Figure 13: Fertilizer volume and value in 2011 against previous years
Figure 14: Fertilizer import by month in 2011
Figure 15: Fertilizer import by month in the years 2010-2011 and export tariff of China
Figure 16: Fertilizer import volume, years 2009-2011
Figure 17: Vietnam’s fertilizer import structure by market in the first 11 months of 2011
Figure 18: Price volatility for several fertilizer varieties
Figure 19: Urea price in several main markets in 2010
Figure 20: DAP price in several markets in 2011
Figure 21: Import prices for several main fertilizer varieties
Figure 22: Comparing between retail Urea price, farm gate urea price and average import urea price
Figure 23: Fertilizer supply-demand balance in 2011
Figure 24: Forecast for urea price in Vietnam in 2012
Figure 25: Outlook for domestic urea price in 2012
Table 1: Outlook for the world fertilizer price in 2012
Table 2: Outlook for the world fertilizer supply in 2012
Table 3: The world price developments for several fertilizer varieties in 2011
Table 4: Food and cereal price indicator growth in 2011
Table 5: Fertilizer price indicator growth in 2011
Table 6: Forecast for domestic fertilizer demand by varieties
Table 7: Several projects on fertilizer capacity enhancement
Table 8: Fertilizer import in 2011 by varieties
Table 9: Fertilizer import in 2011 by market
Table 10: Dam Phu My fertilizer in several markets
Table 11: DAP fertilizer price in several markets

 

LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Outlook for the world fertilizer price in 2012
Table 2: Outlook for the world fertilizer supply in 2012
Table 3: The world price developments for several fertilizer varieties in 2011
Table 4: Food and cereal price indicator growth in 2011
Table 5: Fertilizer price indicator growth in 2011
Table 6: Forecast for domestic fertilizer demand by varieties
Table 7: Several projects on fertilizer capacity enhancement
Table 8: Fertilizer import in 2011 by varieties
Table 9: Fertilizer import in 2011 by market
Table 10: Dam Phu My fertilizer in several markets
Table 11: DAP fertilizer price in several markets

























 


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