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05/04/2011
Volume and average transaction value of several seafood companies in years of 2008-2009 (stock, million VND)

Trading volume
Trading value
Year
Month
ANV
VHC
AGF
ANV
VHC
AGF
2008
1
73019
29579
23322
6366.8
1510.6
1619.1
2
85787
32915
21570
6535.8
1501.7
1223.7
3
98723
26207
27241
5531.7
976.8
990.9
4
74664
27153
27455
4586.3
549.6
1453.4
5
56185
44596
13334
3250.9
1244.3
328.8
6
51023
26697
94996
3079.8
686.1
2870.2
7
54103
50688
112069
2715.4
1102.3
3241.4
8
54327
30839
86215
2634.6
819.1
2195.7
9
79347
35727
56338
3493.3
1136.1
1605.5
10
90182
31805
32503
2489.6
721.0
722.0
11
173436
107963
30641
4098.9
1720.3
646.6
12
487730
14526
20242
8752.8
247.9
299.1
2009
1
43698
8032
16499
807.5
154.0
245.2
2
126599
19264
28013
1422.6
394.7
340.3
3
216588
10796
53290
2989.1
224.8
834.1

05/04/2011
Vietnam fishery export to Russia under 5 groups of enterprise (USD)

Number of enterprise
Average value
Total value
Market share
20% lowest
8
201606
        1,612,845
0.7
2
8
585113
        4,680,908
2.0
3
9
1925378
      17,328,398
7.3
4
8
6439470
      51,515,761
21.7
20% lowest
8
20260760
   162,086,079
68.3
Total
41
29412327
   237,223,992
100.0

Source: AGROINFO, adapted from data of General Department of Vietnam Customs


05/04/2011
Vietnam fishery export to Korea under 5 groups of enterprise (USD)

Number of enterprise
Average value
Total value
Market share
20% lowest
58
29814
1729213
0.6
2
59
99992
5899527
2.0
3
59
300153
17709025
6.0
4
59
883014
52097825
17.6
20% highest
58
3772371
218797537
73.9
Total
293
5085344
296233127
100

Source: AGROINFO, adapted from data of General Department of Vietnam Custom
05/04/2011
Forecast on monthly shrimp exports of Vietnam to Japan in 2009 (million JPY)

Month
Value
1
1941.0
2
1364.0
3
1204.3
4
2076.7
5
2295.7
6
2547.4
7
3150.9
8
3779.8
9
3543.4
10
4663.9
11
3558.4
12
3269.8
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob. 
AR(4)
-0.50201
0.094652
-5.30376
0.0011
SAR(12)
-0.54775
0.060535
-9.04847
0
R-squared
0.878377
    Mean dependent var
-0.03574
Adjusted R-squared
0.861002
    S.D. dependent var
0.165808
S.E. of regression
0.061817
    Akaike info criterion
-2.53614
Sum squared resid
0.02675
    Schwarz criterion
-2.49231
Log likelihood
13.41263
    Durbin-Watson stat
1.800849
Inverted AR Roots
 .92+.25i
     .92-.25i
   .67-.67i
 .67+.67i
 .60+.60i
     .60+.60i
   .25-.92i
 .25+.92i
-.25+.92i
    -.25-.92i
 -.60-.60i
-.60-.60i
-.67-.67i
    -.67-.67i
 -.92-.25i
-.92+.25i

Source: Forecast of AGROINFO
05/04/2011
Forecast on giant river prawn in 2009 (VND/kg)

Month
Price
1
119000
2
134474
3
147333
4
161290
5
148137
6
163520
7
198282
8
162972
9
152098
10
185796
11
151260
12
120158
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob. 
C
0.011157
0.002571
4.340194
0.0025
AR(5)
-0.83497
0.21614
-3.86312
0.0048
AR(8)
-0.90665
0.337017
-2.69023
0.0275
MA(1)
-0.99695
0.256516
-3.88651
0.0046
R-squared
0.658755
    Mean dependent var
0.01043
Adjusted R-squared
0.530788
    S.D. dependent var
0.087358
S.E. of regression
0.059839
    Akaike info criterion
-2.53311
Sum squared resid
0.028646
    Schwarz criterion
-2.37148
Log likelihood
19.19868
    F-statistic
5.147858
Durbin-Watson stat
2.371579
    Prob(F-statistic)
0.028433
Inverted AR Roots
 .92-.49i
     .92+.49i
   .38-.80i
 .38+.80i
-.38+1.02i
    -.38-1.02i
 -.92+.26i
-.92-.26i

Source:Forecast of AGROINFO
05/04/2011
Forecast on quarterly price for white meat fish (VND/kg)

Year
Quarter
Price
2008
Q1
14416
Q2
14588
Q3
14350
Q4
14925
2009
Q1
15188
Q2
15589
Q3
15771
Q4
16157
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob. 
C
0.006022
0.002454
2.453885
0.0365
AR(2)
-0.92761
0.146817
-6.31815
0.0001
MA(4)
-1.266348
0.286046
-4.42708
0.0017
R-squared
0.657738
    Mean dependent var
0.00864
Adjusted R-squared
0.581679
    S.D. dependent var
0.06693
S.E. of regression
0.043288
    Akaike info criterion
-3.22954
Sum squared resid
0.016865
    Schwarz criterion
-3.10832
Log likelihood
22.37726
    F-statistic
8.647809
Durbin-Watson stat
2.238737
    Prob(F-statistic)
0.008028
Inverted MA Roots
1.06
     .00-1.06i
Estimated MA process is noninvertible

Source: Forecast of AGROINFO
05/04/2011
Top 10 world fresh fishery importers and import value from Vietnam in 2008 (million USD)

Import from the World
Import from Vietnam
Import ratio from Vietnam (%)
Japan
      11,603.6
653.0
              5.6
U.S.
      10,813.3
550.6
              5.1
Spain
        6,200.8
154.5
              2.5
France
        4,421.3
77.8
              1.8
Italia
        4,141.4
154.2
              3.7
China
        3,657.3
79.0
              2.2
Germany
        3,384.7
180.5
              5.3
England
        2,569.4
52.3
              2.0
Korea
        2,531.4
250.2
              9.9
Holland
        2,502.4
134.4
              5.4

Source: AGROINFO
05/04/2011
Wholesale and retail prices of catfish in United States, years of 2008 -2009 (cent/pound)

Month
Purchase price on farm
Retail price
2008
1
65.8
221.0
2
68.8
228.0
3
74.3
236.2
4
75.7
239.4
5
77.6
242.8
6
79.4
248.2
7
81.8
250.0
8
82.7
254.1
9
82.7
259.7
10
82.5
250.4
11
82.3
257.1
12
82.1
255.4
2009
1
81.0
258.9
2
77.0
254.4

Source: USDA
05/04/2011
Monthly export shrimp prices of Vietnam and Thailand to Japan, years of 2008-2009 (thousand JPY/ton)

Year
Month
Vietnam
Thailand
2008
1
898.5
853.3
2
858.2
793.5
3
895.8
821.5
4
911.1
773.2
5
949.1
800.6
6
944.3
809.7
7
970.5
785.3
8
944.0
816.9
9
960.0
863.9
10
922.3
835.8
11
865.6
816.3
12
803.1
790.1
2009
1
781.1
691.5
2
785.3
698.3
Source: AGROINFO based on data of Japan Department of Trade

05/04/2011
Seafood production of top 10 countries, years of 2005-2007 (ton)

2005
2006
2007
China
               52,466,041
              54,265,012
              56,160,587
Indonesia
                 6,841,117
                 7,308,325
                 8,063,808
India
                 6,658,010
                 7,014,143
                 7,308,233
Peru
                 9,419,452
                 7,049,318
                 7,260,861
Japan
                 5,749,747
                 5,683,762
                 5,595,679
U.S.
                 5,474,374
                 5,377,497
                 5,296,450
Chile
                 5,452,289
                 5,302,592
                 4,995,697
Philippines
                 4,168,361
                 4,414,306
                 4,717,468
Vietnam
                 3,397,200
                 3,664,327
                 4,315,900
Thailand
                 4,118,508
                 4,105,784
                 3,858,815
Remaining countries
               47,296,438
              48,003,513
              48,733,630
Total
            151,041,537
            152,188,580
            156,307,128

Source: FAOSTAT
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