Báo cáo ngành Gỗ Việt Nam quý 3 năm 2009 (TA) (Vietnam's Wood sector in quarter 3/2009)

VIETNAM'S WOOD SECTOR IN QUARTER 3/2009
In 2009, world wood industry had to face depression of market due to economic crisis. Decreasing demand led to a reduction of global wood industry. In the first 4 months of 2009, Vietnam’s wood industry was in the same trend but since May, signals of recovery appeared gradually.
Vietnam’s wood industry and outlook for 2009-2010 will provides basic, intensive and most updated information about the market for wood and wood products, advantages and disadvantages as well as opportunities and challenges.
This report contains six main parts: i) The status of afforestation, forest care and timber exploitation in 2008; ii) The import of wood and wood products iii) The wood export in 2008 and the first 8 months of 2009; iv) Factors affecting export of wood and wood products in Vietnam v) The world wood market; vi) Prospects for the wood market in 2009-2010.
“Vietnam’s wood industry in Q3 and outlook for 2009-2010” is intended to be a useful reference for policy makers, international organizations, donors and the business community, especially investors, financial funds, banks and securities companies in evaluating the production and trading activities of Vietnam’s wood industry. All of the information and data presented in the report are obtained from publicized information sources of domestic as well as international reputable research agencies such as the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development, General Statistics Office, General Department of Vietnam Customs, Vietnam Timber and Forest Products Association, Foreign Agricultural Service/U.S. Department of Agriculture (FAS/USDA), International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank (WB), and so on.

Basic Information

Release date:
29/10/2009 for Vietnamese version

22/12/2009 for English version

Page: 73 pages

Price:
1,000,000 for Vietnamese version

2,000,000 VND for English version

Form of payment: Account transfer

For further information, kindly contact:

For being consulted about content: Commodity analysis department:

Mr Nguyen Quoc Chinh - Email: chinhnq@gmail.com

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

PREFACE
LIST OF FIGURES
SUMMARY
ABBREVIATIONS
PART I: DOMESTIC AFFORESTATION, AND TIMBER EXPLOITATION IN THE FIRST 8 MONTHS OF 2009
1. Afforestation
2. Timber exploitation
PART 2: VIETNAM’S IMPORT OF WOOD AND WOOD PRODUCTS IN THE FIRST 8 MONTHS OF
1. Timber import by products
2. Wood exporters to Vietnam
PART 3: VIETNAM’S EXPORT OF WOOD AND WOOD PRODUCTS IN 2008 AND THE FIRST 8 MONTHS OF 2009
1. Overview of Vietnam’s wood and wood product export and factors affecting export
1.1 . Recovery signals of wood industry
1.2. Source of export wood
1.3. Demand of main markets
1.4. World wood price
1.5. Seasonal trade
1.6. Policy
1.7. Foreign currency approach
2. Export by types of wood products
3. Export of wood and wood products by market
2.1 Top 10 markets for Vietnam’s wood in terms of value in 7 months of 2009
2.2 Top 10 export markets for Vietnam’s wood and wood products in tems of turnover growth in 2008 (the markets with over US$4 million)
PART 4: WORLD WOOD MARKET
1. World wood price
2. Import demand
3.1 World top 10 countries with great wood import value in the first 5 months of 2009
3.2. Vietnam’s key export markets in 2009 (the U.S., Germany and Japan)
1. Outlook for price
2. Market

APPENDIX AND TABLE
LIST OF ANNEX TABLES
Table 1: Wood import value of some main countries, years 2006-2008 and in the first 5 months of 2009 (US$ billion)
Table 2: Potential markets for world wood export in 2009
Table 3: Vietnam’s wood and wood production export growth to three main markets, years 2007-2010
Table 4: Potential markets for Vietnam wood and wood products in 2009
Table 5: Implementation of some targets for the forestry sector in 8 months of 2009
Table 6: Structure of planted forest area in Vietnam’s regions in 8 months of 2009
Table 7: Vietnam’s wood export, years 2006-2008
Table 8: Export value of wood and wood products in 2008 and 8 months of 2009 (US$ million)
Table 9: Vietnam and the world’s average import prices for raw wood (HS: 44) in 2008 and 6 months of 2009 (Jan 2008=100)
Table 10: Proportion of types of timber imported to Vietnam in 2008 and 7 months of 2009
Table 11: Top 10 types of timber and wood products imported to Vietnam in 7 months of 2009 (US$ million)
Table 12: Wood export value of Vietnam in the period of 2005-2008 and 8 months of 2009 (US$ million)
Table 13: Wood export value by month, years 2008-2009 (US$ million)
Table 14 : Proportion of Vietnam’s wood products for export in 2008
Table 15: Proportion of Vietnam’s wood products for export in 7 months of 2009
Table 16: Vietnam’s export turnover of wooden furniture (HS:9403) in 2009
Table 17: Vietnam’s export turnover of seats of all types (HS code: 94016900) in 2009
Table 18: Vietnam’s export turnover of non-coniferous raw wood (HS code: 44012200) in 2009
Table 19: Vietnam’s export turnover of other wood products in 2009
Table 20: Top 10 markets for Vietnam’s wood and wood products in the first 7 months of 2009
Table 21: Top 10 markets for Vietnam’s wood and wood products in terms of turnover growth in the first 7 months of 2009
Table 22: Export value of raw wood (HS code: 4407) to the U.S. market in the first 7 months of 2009
Table 23: Export value of wood and wood products to the US in the first 7 months of 2009
Table 24: Increases/decreases in Vietnam’s total export-import turnover of wood and wood products in 2009 (Jan 2009=100, Jan 2008=100)
Table 25: Increase/decrease of Vietnam’s wood export and wood import of the US, Germany, and Japan, years 2000-2008 (2008=100)
Table 26: Monthly increase/decrease of Vietnam’s wood export and wood import of the US, Germany, and Japan, years 2007 - 2009 (Jan 2008=100)
Table 27: Increases/decreases in world wood price and Vietnam’s export value of wood and wood products (Jan 2008=100)
Table 28: Vietnam’s monthly export value of wood and wood products, years 2007-2009 (US$ million)
Table 29: Monthly export price of raw wood (HS code: 4407) to the U.S. market, years 2001-2008 and the first 6 months of 2009 (US$/m3)
Table 30: Monthly export price of raw wood (HS code: 4407) to the U.S. market, years 2005-2009 (US$/m3)
Table 31: Export price of raw wood (HS:44) of Brazil and China to the US, years 2001-2008 and the first 6 months of 2009 (US$/m3)
Table 32: Increases/decreases of world raw wood export price in 2008 and the first 6 months of 2009 (Jan 2008=100)
Table 33: Wood export value (HS:44) of Canada and China to the US (Jan 2005-Jun 2009) – Unit: US$ million
Table 34: Wood import value (HS:44) of Japan, Germany and China (Jan 2005-May 2009)
Table 35: Top 10 countries in terms of wood import value in the first 5 months of 2009 (US$)
Table 36: Top 10 countries in terms of wood import value growth in the first 5 months of 2009 (%)
Table 37: Increases/decreases in wood price, years 2001-2008 and forecasts for 2009-2010
Table 38: ARIMA model used to forecast wood export value of Vietnam to the US
Table 39: ARIMA model used to forecast wood export value of Vietnam to Germany
Table 40: ARIMA model used to forecast wood export value of Vietnam to Japan
Table 41: ARIMA model for forecast on wood price fluctuations, years 2009-2010

LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Concentrated planted forest area of Vietnam in the first 8 months of 2009 (thousand ha)
Table 2: Structure of afforested forest area in Vietnam in 2008 (1000 ha)
Figure 3: Structure of protected forest area in the first 8 months of 2009 (%)
Figure 4: Exploited timber volume of Vietnam, years 2007-2008 (thousand m3)
Figure 5: Timber import value of Vietnam, years 2006-2008 (US$)
Figure 6: Vietnam’s import value of wood and wood products in 2008 and the first 8 months of 2009 (US$ million)
Figure 7: Timber import price (HS: 44) of Vietnam and the world in the months of 2008 and the first 6 months of 2009 (Jan 2008=100)
Figure 8: Timber import rate of Vietnam in the first 7 months of 2009 (%)
Figure 9: Vietnam’s import value of top 10 wood and wooden products in the first 7 months of 2009 (US$ million)
Figure 10: top 10 exporters of wood and wooden products to Vietnam in the first 7 months of 2009 (US$ million)
Figure 11: Vietnam’s export value of wood and wood products, years 2005-2008 (US$ million)
Figure 12: Vietnam’s export growth of wood and wood products, years 2002-2008 (%/year)
Figure 13: Vietnam’s export value of wood and wooden products in 2008 & the first 8 months of 2009 (US$ million) and factors affecting export.
Figure 14: Increase/decrease in ex-import value of wood and wood products in 2009 (Jan 2009=100)
Figure 15: Growth of wood and wood products of Vietnam and wood import value of Germany, the US and Japan, years 2000 - 2009 (Value in prior year=100)
Figure 16: Increases/decreases in wood export value of Vietnam and in wood import value of Germany, Japan and the US, years 2007-2009 (Jan 2007=100)
Figure 17: Increases/decreases in world timber price and Vietnam’s timber export value in 2008 and the first 6 months of 2009 (Jan 2008=100)
Figure 18: Export ratio of main wood products of Vietnam in 2008
Figure 19: Vietnam’s export value of wooden furniture (HS: 9403) in the first 7 months of 2009 (US$)
Figure 21: Vietnam’s export turnover of non-coniferous raw wood of all types (HS code: 44012200) in the first 7 months of 2009 (US$ million)
Figure 22: Vietnam’s top 10 export markets for wood and wood products in the first 7 months of 2009
Figure 23: Wood import growth of top 10 markets
Figure 24: Vietnam’s top 10 export markets for wood and wood products in terms of turnover growth in the first 7 months of 2009
Figure 25: Vietnam’s top 10 export markets for wood and wood products in terms of turnover growth in the first 7 months of 2009
Figure 26: Export price of material wood (HS: 44) to the U.S., years 2001- 2008 and in the first 6 months of 2009 (US$/m3)
Figure 27: Export price of material wood (HS:44) to the U.S., years 2005-2009 (US$/m3)
Figure 28: Wood export value (HS:44) of Canada and China to the U.S. (Jan. 2001- Jun. 2009) – Unit: million US$
Figure 29: Wood import value (HS:44) of Japan, Germany and China (Jan. 2001- May 2009) – million US$
Figure 30: Top 10 countries with great wood import value (HS:44) in the first 5 months of 2009 (billion US$)
Figure 31: Top 10 country with great wood import value growth rate (HS: 44) in the first 5 months of 2009 (%)
Figure 32: Indicator of the average price increase and decrease of wood and wood products, years 2000-2008 and forecast of 2009-2010

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