22/06/2011
Forecast prices of No. 2 yellow corn, soybean meal and fishmeal on CBOT-Chicago in 2010 (US$/tonne)
|
Quarter
|
No. 2 yellow corn
|
Soybean meal
|
Fishmeal
|
|
|
158.7
|
364.5
|
1,348.4
|
|
Quarter II
|
157.3
|
366.3
|
1,352.1
|
|
Quarter III
|
156.3
|
367.8
|
1,311.2
|
|
Quarter IV
|
155.6
|
369.2
|
1,274.6
|
Source: AGROINFO forecast
22/06/2011
Forecast world demand/supply of corn in 2009/2010 (million tonnes)
|
2009/2010
|
Supply
|
Consumption
|
|
|
Beginning stock
|
Production
|
Import
|
Animal feed industry
|
Domestic use
|
Export
|
|
Total
|
145.44
|
790.17
|
81.90
|
489.41
|
803.27
|
83.96
|
132.34
|
|
USA
|
42.52
|
328.21
|
0.25
|
137.17
|
276.36
|
52.07
|
42.55
|
|
Export
|
4.29
|
25.50
|
0.05
|
8.50
|
16.10
|
9.50
|
4.24
|
|
Argentina
|
1.11
|
14.00
|
0.03
|
4.00
|
5.90
|
8.00
|
1.24
|
|
South Africa
|
3.18
|
11.50
|
0.03
|
4.50
|
10.20
|
1.50
|
3.01
|
|
Import
|
17.31
|
110.09
|
48.40
|
112.75
|
160.80
|
2.41
|
12.59
|
|
Egypt
|
1.26
|
6.30
|
4.20
|
8.60
|
10.90
|
0.00
|
0.86
|
|
EU
|
5.81
|
56.13
|
2.50
|
45.00
|
60.00
|
1.50
|
2.94
|
|
Japan
|
1.30
|
0.00
|
16.30
|
11.70
|
16.30
|
0.00
|
1.30
|
|
Mexico
|
3.83
|
22.50
|
9.00
|
16.50
|
32.70
|
0.05
|
2.58
|
|
Southeast Asian
|
2.94
|
25.00
|
4.30
|
20.40
|
28.50
|
0.86
|
2.88
|
|
South Korea
|
1.49
|
0.09
|
7.50
|
6.00
|
7.70
|
0.00
|
1.38
|
|
Brazil
|
12.58
|
51.00
|
0.50
|
38.50
|
45.50
|
9.00
|
9.58
|
|
Canada
|
1.86
|
9.56
|
2.00
|
7.50
|
11.80
|
0.30
|
1.32
|
|
China
|
53.17
|
155.00
|
0.05
|
116.00
|
159.00
|
0.50
|
48.72
|
|
FSU-12
|
1.57
|
17.87
|
0.39
|
11.71
|
13.39
|
5.23
|
1.20
|
|
Ukraine
|
0.95
|
10.50
|
0.01
|
4.90
|
5.65
|
5.00
|
0.81
|
|
Source: FAS/USDA
|
22/06/2011
Forecast world demand/supply of soybean meal in 2009/10 (million tonnes)
|
Country
|
Supply
|
Consumption
|
Ending stocks
|
|
Beginning stocks
|
Production
|
Import
|
Domestic use
|
Export
|
|
Total
|
4.59
|
159.92
|
53.87
|
158.56
|
55.2
|
4.6
|
|
USA
|
0.21
|
36.58
|
0.13
|
27.94
|
8.71
|
0.27
|
|
Export
|
3.22
|
58.36
|
0.16
|
16.05
|
42.57
|
3.11
|
|
Argentina
|
1.09
|
27.37
|
0
|
0.68
|
26.72
|
1.07
|
|
Brazil
|
1.68
|
24.68
|
0.15
|
12.63
|
12.15
|
1.74
|
|
India
|
0.45
|
6.31
|
0
|
2.75
|
3.7
|
0.31
|
|
Import
|
0.55
|
46.5
|
30.5
|
75.93
|
1.05
|
0.57
|
|
EU
|
0.39
|
9.69
|
22.8
|
32.2
|
0.32
|
0.36
|
|
China
|
0
|
35.2
|
0.2
|
34.72
|
0.68
|
0
|
|
Source: FAS/USDA
|
22/06/2011
Forecast world demand/supply of soybean in 2009/10 (VND/Kg)
|
Country
|
Supply
|
Consumption
|
Ending stocks
|
|
Beginning stocks
|
Production
|
Import
|
Processing
|
Domestic use
|
Export
|
|
World
|
42.41
|
250.25
|
77.79
|
202.95
|
233.75
|
79.61
|
57.09
|
|
USA
|
3.76
|
90.34
|
0.22
|
46.13
|
50.90
|
36.47
|
6.95
|
|
Export
|
27.74
|
122.70
|
0.47
|
68.39
|
73.10
|
38.80
|
39.01
|
|
Argentina
|
16.03
|
53.00
|
0.30
|
35.00
|
36.63
|
10.15
|
22.55
|
|
Brazil
|
11.67
|
63.00
|
0.15
|
31.84
|
34.79
|
23.75
|
16.28
|
|
Import
|
9.62
|
16.81
|
65.17
|
65.09
|
81.06
|
0.56
|
9.98
|
|
China
|
9.01
|
14.50
|
41.00
|
44.48
|
55.01
|
0.50
|
9.00
|
|
EU
|
0.38
|
0.99
|
12.70
|
12.30
|
13.45
|
0.03
|
0.59
|
|
Japan
|
0.09
|
0.23
|
3.95
|
2.75
|
4.11
|
0.00
|
0.16
|
|
Mexico
|
0.03
|
0.12
|
3.54
|
3.62
|
3.65
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
|
Source: FAS/USDA
|
22/06/2011
Targets for fishery development in 2010
|
Ordinal
|
Indicator
|
Unit
|
Target for 2006-2010
|
Estimated result in 2009
|
Target for 2010
|
|
1
|
Growth in productive value of the fishery sector
|
%
|
10.5
|
2 - 3
|
7
|
|
2
|
Total output of aquatic products
|
|
4
|
4.71
|
4.8
|
|
|
- Output of exploited aquatic products
|
ml. tonnes
|
2
|
2.31
|
2.2
|
|
|
- Output of farmed aquatic products
|
ml. tonnes
|
2
|
2.4
|
2.6
|
|
3
|
Export value
|
US$ bl.
|
4
|
4
|
4.5
|
Source: Livestock Department
22/06/2011
Targets for livestock development in 2010
|
Ordinal
|
Indicator
|
Unit
|
Target for 2006-2010
|
Estimated result in 2009
|
Target for 2010
|
|
1
|
Growth in productive value of the livestock sector
|
%
|
6.4
|
8.0
|
8-9
|
|
2
|
Share of livestock products out of total value of agricultural production
|
%
|
32
|
30
|
32
|
22/06/2011
Some forecast targets for Vietnamese corn in 2010 - 2015
|
Indicator
|
2010
|
2011
|
2012
|
2013
|
2014
|
2015
|
|
Area (1000 ha)
|
1,145.2
|
1,134.1
|
1,128.4
|
1,128.6
|
1,128.0
|
1,126.2
|
|
Beginning stocks (1000 tonnes)
|
398
|
398
|
398
|
398
|
398
|
398
|
|
Total supplies (1000 tonnes)
|
5,146.8
|
5,129.4
|
5,133.9
|
5,163.4
|
5,189.3
|
5,210.2
|
|
Imports (1000 tonnes)
|
890.9
|
989.2
|
1,091.3
|
1,166.4
|
1,266.7
|
1,380.8
|
|
Production (1000 tonnes)
|
4,748.8
|
4,731.4
|
4,735.9
|
4,765.4
|
4,791.3
|
4,812.2
|
|
Total demand (1000 tonnes)
|
6,037.6
|
6,118.6
|
6,225.3
|
6,329.8
|
6,456.0
|
6,591.0
|
|
Demand from the animal feed industry (1000 tonnes)
|
4,393.8
|
4,456.5
|
4,549.7
|
4,640.3
|
4,751.5
|
4,870.3
|
|
Per capita consumption (kg)
|
14.19
|
14.26
|
14.27
|
14.29
|
14.32
|
14.36
|
|
Exports (1000 tonnes)
|
-890.9
|
-989.2
|
-1,091.3
|
-1,166.4
|
-1,266.7
|
-1,380.8
|
|
Yield (tonne/ha)
|
4.15
|
4.17
|
4.20
|
4.22
|
4.25
|
4.27
|
Source: FAPRI
22/06/2011
World demand/supply balance of soybean in 2008/09 (million tonnes)
|
2008/09
|
Supply
|
Consumption
|
Ending stocks
|
|
Beginning stocks
|
Production
|
Import
|
Animal feed industry
|
Domestic use
|
Export
|
|
Total
|
52.91
|
210.87
|
75.97
|
192.63
|
220.45
|
76.89
|
42.41
|
|
USA
|
5.58
|
80.75
|
0.36
|
45.23
|
48
|
34.93
|
3.76
|
|
Argentina
|
21.76
|
32
|
1.29
|
31.91
|
33.27
|
5.75
|
16.03
|
|
EU
|
0.81
|
0.64
|
13
|
12.83
|
14.06
|
0.02
|
0.38
|
|
Japan
|
0.27
|
0.23
|
3.4
|
2.5
|
3.8
|
0
|
0.09
|
|
Mexico
|
0.02
|
0.16
|
3.1
|
3.22
|
3.25
|
0.1
|
0.03
|
|
Brazil
|
18.9
|
57
|
0.05
|
31.4
|
34.3
|
29.99
|
11.67
|
|
China
|
4.25
|
15.5
|
41.1
|
41.04
|
51.44
|
0.4
|
9.01
|
|
Source: FAS/USDA (12/2009 report, December data are just an estimate)
|
22/06/2011
|
2008/09
|
Supply
|
Consumption
|
Ending stocks
|
|
Beginning stocks
|
Production
|
Import
|
Feed industry
|
Domestic use
|
Export
|
|
Total
|
129.31
|
791.63
|
80.84
|
480.48
|
775.49
|
80.84
|
145.44
|
|
USA
|
41.26
|
307.39
|
0.34
|
133.47
|
259.28
|
47.18
|
42.52
|
|
Argentina
|
1.99
|
12.60
|
0.13
|
4.20
|
6.10
|
7.50
|
1.11
|
|
South Africa
|
3.09
|
12.57
|
0.03
|
4.40
|
10.00
|
2.50
|
3.18
|
|
Egypt
|
0.85
|
6.22
|
5.00
|
8.50
|
10.80
|
0.00
|
1.26
|
|
EU
|
4.36
|
62.70
|
2.50
|
47.50
|
62.00
|
1.75
|
5.81
|
|
Japan
|
1.16
|
0.00
|
16.53
|
11.80
|
16.40
|
0.00
|
1.30
|
|
Mexico
|
4.13
|
25.00
|
7.70
|
16.90
|
32.90
|
0.10
|
3.83
|
|
Southeast Asia
|
3.19
|
24.37
|
4.05
|
20.10
|
27.90
|
0.77
|
2.94
|
|
South Korea
|
2.08
|
0.09
|
7.19
|
6.37
|
7.88
|
0.00
|
1.49
|
|
Brazil
|
12.58
|
51.00
|
1.00
|
37.00
|
44.50
|
7.50
|
12.58
|
|
Canada
|
1.46
|
10.59
|
1.84
|
7.53
|
11.66
|
0.37
|
1.86
|
|
China
|
39.39
|
165.90
|
0.05
|
110.00
|
152.00
|
0.17
|
53.17
|
|
Source: FAS/USDA (12/2009 report, December data are just an estimate)
|
22/06/2011
Production, consumption, and import-export of fishmeal worldwide from 1996/1997 to 2008/2009 (million tonnes)
|
Crop year
|
Production
|
Consumption
|
Import
|
Export
|
|
1996/97
|
6.64
|
6.27
|
3.5
|
4.06
|
|
1997/98
|
4.97
|
4.97
|
2.27
|
2.26
|
|
1998/99
|
5.81
|
5.51
|
2.78
|
3.07
|
|
1999/00
|
6.33
|
6.38
|
3.7
|
3.66
|
|
2000/01
|
5.93
|
6.17
|
3.47
|
3.47
|
|
2001/02
|
5.84
|
5.74
|
3.25
|
3.06
|
|
2002/03
|
4.84
|
5.21
|
2.85
|
2.86
|
|
2003/04
|
5.33
|
5.39
|
3.13
|
3.2
|
|
2004/05
|
5.7
|
5.65
|
3.59
|
3.67
|
|
2005/06
|
4.94
|
5.14
|
2.94
|
2.73
|
|
2006/07
|
5.05
|
4.99
|
2.68
|
2.59
|
|
2007/08
|
5.18
|
5.33
|
3.01
|
2.84
|
|
2008/09
|
5.13
|
5.34
|
3.03
|
2.83
|
|
Source: FAS/USDA (12/2009 report, December data are just an estimate)
|
|