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Báo cáo thường niên ngành Lúa gạo Việt Nam 2008 và Triển vọng 2009 (TA)|VIETNAM’S RICE SECTOR IN 2008 AND OUTLOOK FOR 2009
     
VIETNAM’S RICE SECTOR IN 2008 AND OUTLOOK FOR 2009

After the publication of "Vietnam’s Rice Yearbook 2007 and Outlook for 2008", "Rice market in the first half of 2008 and prospects for 2009" and "2009 World rice market after multicropping race", Information Center for Agriculture and Rural Development (AGROINFO) has continued to release "Vietnam Rice Yearbook 2008 and Outlook for 2009".
"Vietnam Rice Yearbook 2008 and Outlook for 2009" provides a comprehensive and updated analysis of factors affecting the domestic and world rice markets in 2008 and prospects for market trends in 2009.
• Rice production in Vietnam and the world
• Price movements in the domestic and world rice markets
• Global rice trade in 2008
• Vietnam’s rice export movements in 2008
• Influences of Vietnamese Government’s rice import-export management policy for 2008
• The demand-supply balance sheet for Vietnam’s rice sector in 2008
• Information about investment and production of enterprises operating in the sector.
• Outlook for 2009: Rice prices, supply-demand of the rice sector and the most potential rice export markets.
"Vietnam Rice Yearbook 2008 and Outlook for 2009"serves as a useful reference for central and grass-root policy makers, international organizations, donors, and the business community. All of the information and data in this report have been obtained from reputable local and foreign sources as follows: Cultivation Department under Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development, General Statistics Office, General Department of Vietnam Customs, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Economic Research Service (ERS) – a market research agency and Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) under the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), and others.

Basic Information

Release date:
21/03/2009 for Vietnamese version

19/05/2009 for English version

• Price:
1,000,000 for Vietnamese version

2,000,000 VND for English version

Form of payment: Account transfer

For further information, kindly contact:

For being consulted about content:
Commodity analysis department:
Ms. Nguyen Trang Nhung - Email: info@agro.gov.vn

For placing an order: Customer services department:

Ms. An Thu Hang - YM: banhang_agro
Tel: (84.4) 07.88.256.256 - 07.88.256.256 – Fax: (84.4) 39726949
Email:
banhang_agro@yahoo.com

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Customer service:
Tel: 07.88.256.256 - 07.88.256.256
Fax: 04.39726949
Email:
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TABLE OF CONTENTS

SUMMARY

PART 1: RICE PRODUCTION IN VIETNAM

1. Rice acreage, yield, production in Vietnam

1.1. Rice area, yield and production of the whole country in 2008

1.2. Rice area, yield and production by season and by region in 2008

1.2.1. Winter-spring crop

Whole country:

The North:

1.2.2. Summer-fall crop

1.2.3. Tenth-month and winter-spring crops

2. Productin costs and returns of rice production

2.1. Winter-spring crop

2.2. Summer-fall crop

PART II: RICE MARKETS

I. World rice market in 2008

1. World rice supply in 2008

2. World rice consumer demand in 2008

3. World rice trade in 2008

3.1. Top 10 countries in terms of rice export turnover in the world, 2008

3.2. Growth rate of the world’s top 10 countries in terms of rice export turnover, 2007-2008

3.3. Top 10 markets with highest import turnovers of rice in the world, 2008

3.4. Top 10 rice importing markets with turnover of over US$ 1 million in terms of the highest growth rate in turnover in the world

4. Rice prices in the world market in 2008 and influential factors

II. Vietnam’s rice market in 2008

1. Domestic rice trade

1.1. Stable supply, virtual demand fever, increased rice prices in the first months of 2008

1.2. The second half of 2008: domestic rice prices dropped sharply

2. Vietnam’s rice export

2.1. Vietnam’s rice exports in 2008

2.2. Rice export by month

2.3. Rice export by market: Rice exports dropped strongly in Asian market but advanced robustly in African one.

2.3.1. Top 10 import markets of Vietnamese rice in 2008

2.3.2. Growth rate of top 10 import markets of Vietnamese rice

2.3.3. Vietnam’s top 10 markets with over US$ 1-million import turnover in terms of turnover growth in 2008

3. Vietnam’s rice export price

3.1. Export price by month

3.2. Export price by market

PART III: INFORMATION ON VIETNAM RICE ENTERPRISES IN 2008

1. Top 10 Vietnamese rice exporters in 2008

2. Rice export price of top 10 Vietnamese exporters in 2008

3. Market share of Vietnam rice exporters in 2008

3.1. Market share by export value of enterprises

3.2. Market share by export price of enterprise groups

PART IV: SUPPLY-DEMAND OF WORLD AND VIETNAM RICE IN 2008

1. Supply-demand of the world rice in 2008

2. Supply-demand of Vietnam rice in 2008

PART V: OUTLOOK FOR 2009 MARKET

1. Outlook for rice supplies in 2009

1.1. Outlook for 2009 rice supplies in the world

1.2. Outlook for 2009 rice supplies of Vietnam

2. Plan of rice imports in several main regions and markets by 2009

3. Outlook for rice prices in 2009

4. Potential markets

DATA

FORECAST DATA

APPENDIX

REFERENCE MATERIALS

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1: Rice area, yield and production nationwide, years 2000-2008

Table 2: Area, yield and production of winter-spring rice in the whole country, South and North, crops 2006/07-2007/08

Table 3: Area, production and yield of rice in Mekong River Delta, years 2000-2008

Table 4: Area, yield and production of rice in the South East, years 2000-2008

Table 5: Area, yield and production of rice in the North East, years 2000-2008

Table 6: Area, yield and production of rice in the North West, years 2000-2008

Table 7: Area, yield and production of rice in the Red River Delta, years 2000-2008

Table 8: Expenses for production of 1 ha of summer-autumn rice in An Giang, years 2006-2008

Table 9: DAP fertilizer price in Đồng Nai and Tiền Giang, years 2007-2008, (VND/kg)

Table 10: Prices of DAP, NPK đầu trâu and imported NPK fertilizers in 2008

Table 11: Price of Bassa pesticide in An Giang and Đồng Nai, years 2007-2008, (VND/chai)

Table 12: Area, production and yield of the world rice, years 1990-2008

Table 13: Rice production of the world, region and whole country, years 2007-2008

Table 14: Area, yield, production, export, consumption and stock of the world rice, years 1980-2009

Table 15: The world rice consumption, years 2000-2008

Table 16: World’s top 10 rice exporters in terms of value and their growth rates, years 2007-2008

Table 17: World’s top 10 rice importers in value, years 2007-2008

Table 18: Thailand export rice price (5%, 10%, 15%, 25% broken, 100% B and 100% paraboiled rice), years 2007-2008, USD/ton

Table 19: Rice prices in some markets, years 2007-2008, VND/kg

Table 20: Paddy prices in some markets, years 2007-2008, VND/kg

Table 21: Export volume and value of Vietnam rice, years 2000-2008

Table 22: Export volume and value of Vietnam rice (Jan-Sep) in 2008

Table 23: Value of Vietnam rice export to regions, years 2007-2008, million USD

Table 24: Value and market share of Vietnam rice exports to markets in 2007

Table 25: Value and market share of Vietnam rice exports to markets in 2008

Table 26: Volume and value of top 10 markets for Vietnam rice in 2008

Table 27: Value and growth rate of top 10 markets for Vietnam rice, years of 2007-2008

Table 28: Value of top 10 markets for Vietnam rice in terms of growth rate, years 2007-2008

Table 29: Vietnam export rice prices (5% brokens, 10% brokens, 15% brokens and 25% brokens), years 2007-2008, USD/ton


Table 30: Vietnam export rice price to several markets in 2008

Table 31: Export volume, value and price of top 10 vietnam rice exporters in 2008

Table 32: Volume, value and price of top 10 vietnam rice exporters in 2007

Table 33: World rice supply-demand, crop years 2007/08-2018/2019

Table 34: Rice supply-demand of U.S., crop years 2007/08-2018/2019

Table 35: Rice supply-demand of Brazil, crop years 2007/08-2018/2019

Table 38: Rice supply-demand of Iraq, crop years 2007/08-2018/2019

Table 39: Rice supply-demand of Malaixia, crop years 2007/08-2018/2019

Table 40: Rice supply-demand of Pakistan, crop years 2007/08-2018/2019

Table 41: Rice supply-demand of Philippines, crop years 2007/08-2018/2019

Table 42: Rice supply-demand of Thailand, crop years 2007/08-2018/2019

Table 43: Rice supply-demand of Vietnam, crop years 2007/08-2018/2019

Table 44: Rice supply-demand of South Africa, crop years 2007/08-2018/2019

Table 45: Rice consumption in several countries, 2007/08-2018/2019, (Unit: kg/person), (Source: FAPRI)

APPENDICES

Appendix 01: Policies on controlling rice market in 2008

Apperndix 02: Policy on limitation of Indian rice export by time

Appendix 03: Production cost for 2008 summer-autumn rice in Vinh Long Province

Appendix 04: Production cost for 2008 summer-autumn rice in Quảng Nam

Appendix 05: Production cost for 2008 summer-autumn rice in Nghệ An

Appendix 06: Production cost for 2008 summer-autumn rice in Nam Định

Appendix 07: Production cost for 2008 summer-autumn rice in Yên Bái

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1: Rice yield of the whole country, 2000-2008

Figure 2: Rice area and production of the whole country, 2000-2008

Figure 3: Areas of winter-spring rice in the North, South and some regions, 2007-2008

Figure 4: Production of winter-spring rice in the North, South and some regions, 2007-2008

Figure 5: Whole country’s area and production of summer-fall rice, 2000-2008

Figure 6: Yield and production of summer-fall rice in the South East, 2002-2008

Figure 7: Yield and production of summer-fall rice in the Mekong River Delta, 2002-2008

Figure 8: Areas and production of winter-spring rice in the Mekong River Delta, 2000-2008

Figure 9: Structure of production costs per ha for summer-fall rice in An Giang, 2006-2008

Figure 10: Growth rate of the price index for productive inputs in An Giang, 2007-2008 (January 2007=100%)

Figure 11: World rice acreage and yield, 1990-2008

Figure 12: Rice production of the world and regions, 2007-2008 (million tons)

Figure 13: Rice production in some large rice producers in the world, 2006-2008 (million tons)

Figure 14: World rice consumption, 2000-2008

Figure 15: The world’s top 10 countries in terms of rice export turnover, 2007-2008

Figure 16: Growth rate of the world’s top 10 countries in terms of rice export turnover, 2007-2008 (%)

Figure 17: Top 10 markets with highest import turnovers of rice in the world, 2007-2008

Figure 18: Top 10 rice import markets with turnover of over US$ 1 million in terms of he highest growth rate in turnover in the world, 2007-2008 (%)

Figure 19: Export prices of Thai rice, 10/2007-12/2008, (US$/ton)

Figure 20: Price movements of ordinary paddy and rice in Can Tho market, January –December (VND/kg)

Figure 21 : Vietnam’s rice export turnover and volume, 2000-2008

Figure 22: Vietnam’s rice export turnover and volume, January-December 2008

Figure 23: Effects of rice export management policies on rice exporting in 2008

Figure 24: Rice export turnover of Vietnam to foreign markets in 2007-2008 (%)

Figure 25: The structure of Vietnam’s rice export markets in 2007, (%)

Figure 26: The structure of Vietnam’s rice export markets in 2008, (%)

Figure 27: Top 10 import markets of Vietnamese rice, 2008

Figure 28: Turnover growth of top 10 import markets of Vietnamese rice, 2007-2008 (%)

Figure 29: 10 largest markets with over US$ 1-million import turnover in terms of import growth from Vietnam in 2008, (%)

Figure 30: Price movements and rice export volumes of Vietnam, January-December, 2008

Figure 31: Export prices of Vietnamese rice to some markets, 2008

Figure 32: Average rice export price of top 10 Vietnam exporters in 2008 (USD/ton)

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1: Analysis of costs, structure of inputs and productive effectiveness of winter-spring crop in 2008 in An Giang

Table 2: Top 10 Vietnamese rice exporters in 2008

Table 3: Structure of rice export value by group of Vietnam rice exporters, years 2007-2008

Table 4: Rice export prices by groups of Vietnam exporters, years 2007-2008

Table 5: Supply-demand of world rice, years 2007-2008, (million tons)

Table 6: Supply-demand of Vietnam rice, years 2007-2008

Table 7: Supply-demand of the world rice and outlook for 2009, (million tons)

Table 8: Outlook of Vietnam rice production in 2009 (million tons)

Table 9: Forecast on volume of imported rice of world and major importers for 2009 (million tons)

Table 10: Effect factors and outlook for world rice price in 2009

Table 11: Forecast on 2009 Vietnam export rice prices

Table 12: Major and potential markets for rice export in 2009

LIST OF BOXES

Box 1: Some cases of improved farming techniques, increased profits regarding the production of the 2007/08 winter-spring crop in some localities

Box 2: Strict punishments to rice spectators for disordering the market and the implementation of market stabilization

Box 3: 4 main changes in world rice export-import in 2009



     

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