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FOREWORD
LIST OF TABLES
LIST OF FIGURES
LIST OF BOXES
ABBREVATIONS
SUMMARY
I. VIETNAM’S AGRICULTURE SECTOR IN 2010
1. The world economy in 2010
2. Vietnam economy in 2010
2.1. Macroeconomics growth
2.1.1. GDP – higher rate than that in 2009
2.1.2. Export-import value
2.1.3. Consumption
2.2. Investment
2.4. Inflation
2.5. Stock exchanges
2.6. Integration
1. Growth and structure transfer
1.1. A 55% GDP growth of fishery sector compared to the plan
1.2. A strong economic structure transfer of fishery sector
2. Investment
2.1. Investment from State budget
2.2. FDI
2.2.1. Overview of FDI in agriculture, forestry and fishery
2.2.2. FDI structure by sector
2.2.3. FDI structure by region
2.2.4. FDI structure by partner
2.3. Investment from ODA
3. Production
3.1. Agriculture
3.2. Forestry
3.3. Fishery
3.4. Salt industry
4. Trade
4.1. Trade in agriculture-forestry-fishery in 2010
4.2. Commodities with exports of over US$1 billion in 2010
4.3. Commodities with imports of more than US$1 billion in 2010
4.4. Top 10 commodities in terms of export growth in 2010
4.5. Top 10 commodities in terms of import growth in 2010
5. Commodities
5.1. Rice
5.1.1. Production
5.1.2. Trade
5.1.2.1. Export volume and value
5.1.2.2. Price
5.1.2.3. Export market
5.1.2.4. Policy
5.2.1. Production
5.2.2. Trade
5.2.2.1. Export volume and value
5.2.2.2. Price
5.2.2.3. Importers for Vietnam’s coffee
5.3. Rubber
5.3.1. Production
5.3.2. Trade
5.3.2.1.Export volume and value
5.3.2.2. Price
5.3.2.3. Importers for Vietnam’s rubber
5.4. Cashew
5.4.1. Production
5.4.2. Trade
5.4.2.1. Export volume and value
5.4.2.2. Price
5.4.2.3. Importers for Vietnam’s cashew
5.5. Pepper
5.5.1. Production
5.5.2. Trade
5.5.2.1. Export volume and value
5.5.2.2. Price
5.5.2.3. Markets for Vietnam’s pepper
5.6. Tea
5.6.1. Production
5.6.2. Trade
5.6.2.1. Export volume and value
5.6.2.2. Price
5.6.2.3. Markets for Vietnam’s tea
5.7. Feed and feed ingredients
5.7.1. Production
5.7.2. Trade
5.7.2.1. Import value
5.7.2.2. Price
5.7.2.4. Policy
5.8. Fertilizer
5.8.1. Production
5.8.2. Trade
5.8.2.1. Imports
5.8.2.2. Price
5.8.2.3. Fertilizer exporters to Vietnam
5.8.2.4. Policy
5.9. Vegetables and fruits
5.9.1. Production
5.9.2. Trade
5.9.2.1. Exports
5.9.2.2. Market
5.10. Sugarcane
5.10.1. Production
5.10.2.1. Value
5.10.2.2. Price
5.10.2.3. Market
5.11. Livestock
5.11.1. Production
5.11.2. Trade
5.11.2.1. Value
5.11.2.2. Price
5.11.2.3. Market
5.11.2.4. Policy
5.12. Fishery
5.12.1. Production
5.12.2. Export volume and value
5.12.3. Price
5.12.3. Markets for Vietnam’s seafood
5.13. Timber and timer products
5.13.1. Trade
5.13.2. Price
5.13.3. Market
5.14. Milk and milk products
5.14.1. Trade
5.14.2. Market
5.14.3. Price
5.15. Fats and oils
5.15.1. Trade
5.15.2. Market
III. SOME ISSUES ON VIETNAM’S AGRICULTURE DEVELOPEMENT IN 2010
1. Benefits from the criris in the world exhange rate for Vietnamese agro-product exports
2. Policy on purchase for temporary stocks
3. Difficulties of fishery sector
3.1. Difficult regulations for imports of seafood materials
3.2. Say no to shrimp pumped with impurities: Leave the work unfinished
3.3. Many trade and non-trade barriers set up
4. Adverse impacts of disease epidemics and weather on agriculture production
4.1. Effects of natural calamity
4.2. Effects of disease
IV. VIETNAM’S AGRICULTURE OUTLOOK IN 2011
1. Vietnam’s agriculture development in 2011
1.1. The world
1.1.1. The world economy
1.1.2. The world agriculture
1.2. Vietnam
1.2.1. Vietnam’s economy
1.2.2. Vietnam’s agriculture development in 2011
2. Outlook for Vietnam’s agriculture development in 2011
2.1. Growth
2.2. Outlook on several agricultural commodities
2.2.1 Rice
2.2.2. Coffee
2.2.3. Rubber
2.2.5. Pepper
2.2.6. Fishery
V. APPENDIX
1. The economy of the world and region and some main economic partners in Vietnam
2. Vietnam’s economy in 2010
3. Agricultural production
4. Trade of agriculture, forestry and fishery in 2010
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LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: The world macro-economics indicators in the years 2009-2010
Table 2: Growth rate of 3 economic sectors in the years 2007-2010
Table 3: GDP growth of agriculture, forestry and fishery
Table 4: Agriculture production value in 2010 under the 1994 constant prices
Table 5: FDI structure in agriculture, forestry and fishery by province up to 2008
Table 6: 10 large foreign investors in agriculture, forestry and fishery (up to Jul 2008)
Table 7: Agro-products with exports of more than US$1 billion, years 2009-2010
Table 8: The commodities with value of more than US$1 billion in 2010
Table 9: Top 10 commodities in terms of export growth in 2010
Table 10: Top 10 commodities in terms of import growth in 2010
Table 11:Pork output, years 2009-2010
Table 12: Damages by desease epidemcis and natual calamity in 2010
Table 13: Forecast on the world and region economy in 2011
Table 14: Forecast of Vietnam’s government and international organizations on Vietnam’s economic growth rate in the years 2010-2011 (%)
Table 15: Several agriculture growth targets in 2011
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: The GDP growth in the world and regions in the years 2001-2010 (%)
Figure 2: GDP structure by economic sectors in the years 2009 - 2010 (%)
Figure 3: Total export-import value in the years 2009-2010 by economic sectors (US$ billion)
Figure 4: 18 exports with value of more than US$1 billion in 2010 (US$ billion)
Figure 5: 17 imports with value of more than US$1 billion in 2010 (US$ billion)
Figure 6: Structure of consumption by economic sectors in the years 2009-2010 (Current price, %)
Figure 7: Social investment in the years 2007-2010 (current price, VND billion, %)
Figure 8: Commitments and FDI disbursement in the years 2007-2010 (US$ million)
Figure 9: Forex of VND/US$ on the interbank market
Figure 10: VND/US$ forex on the official and unofficial markets in the years 2007-2010 26
Figure 11: CPI in the years, years 2009-2010 (baseline = Dec 2008)
Figure 12: Structure of crops, years 2006-2010 (%)
Figure 13: GDP structure in agriculture, forestry and fishery, years 2007-2010 (current price, %)
Figure 14: Investment structure from State budget by sectors, years 2007-2009 (%)
Figure 15: FDI structure in agriculture, forestry, fishery in 2008
Figure 16: Investment from ODA into economic sectors in the period of 2006-2010
Figure 17: Forest area and timber output explored in the years of 2008-2010
Figure 18: Structure of fishery output, years 2008-2010 (%)
Figure 19: Structure of agriculture, forestry and fishery export, years 2008-2010 (%)
Figure 20: Agriculture-forestry-fishery import rate, years 2009-2010 (%)
Figure 21: Rice area and output, years 2001-2010
Figure 22: Export 5% broken rice price of Vietnam and Thailand, years 2009 - 2010
Figure 23: Ordinary paddy and rice price in Can Tho, years 2009-2010
Figure 24: Coffee export volume and value of Vietnam, years 2006-2010
Figure 25: Robusta coffee price in London (United Kingdom) and Vietnam by months in 2010 (US$/ton)
Figure 26: RSS3 export rubber price by months in 2010 (US$/ton)
Figure 27: Average export cashew kernel price by months in 2010 (US$/ton)
Figure 28: Black pepper retail price in 2010 (VND/kg)
Figure 29: Export unground white pepper price in 2010 (US$/ton)
Figure 30: Fresh tea price in 2010 in Lâm Đồng (VND/kg)
Figure 31: Pig feed composite price and corn price in 2010 (VND/kg)
Figure 32: Production of some main types of fertilizer produced in Vietnam
Figure 33: Sugar price in Vietnam and Thailand
Figure 34: Structure of meat types, years 2009-2010 (%)
Figure 35: Structure of markets for fishery of Vietnam, years 2009-2010 (%)
Figure 36: Changes in currency price of countries comapred to US dollar in 2010 (Jan 2010 = 100)
Figure 37: Changes in Urea price and rice price in 2010 (VND/kg)
Figure 38: Changes in DAP import price and domestically imported DAP price compared to 5% broken rice in 2010 (Jan 2010=100)
Figure 39: Changes in feed and feed ingredient prices in 2010 (Jan 2010 =100)
Figure 40: Roadmap on purchasing coffee for temporary stock for 2009/10 crop year
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