TABLE OF CONTENTS FOREWORD TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF FIGURES LIST OF TABLES ABBREVIATION SUMMARY PART I. WORLD MARKET I. World ingredient supplies 1. Soybean – Soybean meal Soybean Soybean meal 2. Corn 3. Fishmeal – Meat meal - Bone meal II. World ingredient demand 1. Soybean – soybean meal 2. Corn 3. Fishmeal – Meat meal – Bone meal III. World trade of Animal feed ingredients 1. Soybean – soybean meal 1.1. Big exporting countries 1.2. Big exporting countries 2. Corn 2.1. Major exporting countries 2.2. Major importing countries 4. World price 4.1. Soybean meal price 4.2. Corn price 4.3. Peru’s fishmeal Part II. Domestic market I. World feed ingredient supply 1. Domestic situation of feed ingredient production in the first 9 months of 2009 2. Supply of imported animal feed and feed ingredients in the first 8 months of 2009 2.1. Import by month 2.2. Import by category 2.3. Import by exporting country II. Domestic demand for animal feed 1. Growth of the fishery industry 2. Growth of the livestock industry III. Price 1. Domestic prices of feed ingredients Corn Rice bran - cassava Soybean Source: Agrodata 2. Finished animal feed prices IV. Factors affecting the price 1. Foreign exchange market 2. New policies Part III. Market outlook I. World feed ingredient supplies-demand-prices Supplies Price II. Domestic supply-demand-price of feed ingredients Domestic supply Import supply Price LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1: Changes between world soybean productivity and supply sources for export in 2009 and 2008 Figure 2: Changes of soybean productivity and supply resource for export of the world in 2009 against 2008 Figure 3: Changes of world corn productivity in 2009 against 2008 Figure 4: Productivity and supply for fishmeal export in large countries, 2008-2009 (thousand tons) Figure 5: Changes in domestic demand of world soybean meal in the world in 2009 against 2008 Figure 6: Changes in domestic corn demand in the world in 2009 compared to 2008 Figure 7: Fishmeal consumption and import in large countries, 2998 -2009 (thousand tons) Figure 8: Top 10 largest countries importing soybean meal in the world within the first 9 months of 2009 (million tons) Figure 9: Changes in supply for corn export in the world in 2009 compared to 2008 (million tons) Figure 10: Changes in demand of corn import in the world in 2009 compared to 2008 (million tons) Figure 11: World soybean supply-demand balance of 2008/09 Figure 12: Forecast on 2009/10 soybean supply-demand balance of the world Figure 13: Forecast on 2008/09 soybean supply-demand balance of the world Figure 14: Forecast on 2009/10 soybean supply-demand balance of the world Figure 15: Balance of world corn supply-demand in 2008/09 | Figure 16: Change of domestic demand and import of soybean in the world in 2009 compared to 2008 Figure 17: Change of domestic demand and import demand of soybean in 2009 compared to 2008 Figure 18: Change of domestic demand and import demand of corn in 2009 compared to 2008 Figure 19: Number of cattle and pigs in EU-27, years 2008-2009 (thousand heads) Figure 20: Cereal planted area up to 15 September 2009 Figure 21: Feed ingredient prices by month, years 2008-2009 Figure 21: Value and value growth of top 10 feed exporters to Vietnam in the first 8 months of 2009 Figure 22: Retail soybean price in several provinces by month, years 2008-2009 (VND/kg) Figure 23: Domestic corn and rice bran price by month, years 2008-2009 (VND/kg) LIST OF TABLES Figure 1: Productivity of the three largest soybean exporting countries, 2007-2009 (million tons) Figure 2: Corn productivity of the largest producing countries Figure 3: Correlation between soybean productivity growth and consumption growth among big countries within 2008-2009 Figure 4: Correlation between productivity growth and consumption growth of soybean meal in big countries through two crop years 2007/2008 – 2008/2009 Figure 5: Density of soybean meal export in big countries, 2008 Figure 6: Density of soybean meal in big countries, 2009 Figure 7: Chinese soybean import and EU-27, 2007-2009 (million tons) Figure 8: Chinese soybean import volume by month, 2007 – 2009 (million tons) Figure 9: Density of corn export in many big countries, 2008 Figure 10: Density of corn export in many big countries, 2009 Figure 11: Soybean meal price in India by month, 2008-2009 (US$/ton) Figure 12: Correlation between soybean meal spot price in India and futures price in quarter 3, 2009 Figure 13: December CBOT corn by month, 2008-2009 (US$/bushel) Figure 14: Farm gate price of corn in the US during 2000 – 2009 (US$/bushel) Figure 15: Peru CIF 65% protein fishmeal on average by month, 2008-2009 (US$/ton) Figure 16: Cultivated areas and growth of cultivated areas for several feed crops Figure 17: Monthly import values of animal feed and feed ingredients, 2008-2009 (US$ million) Figure 18: Monthly import values of the three main feed ingredients, 2008-2009 (US$ million) Figure 19: Shares of imported animal feed and feed ingredients in the first 8 months of 2008 Figure 20: Shares of imported animal feed and feed ingredients in the first 8 months of 2009 Figure 21: Growth of import value for animal feed and feed ingredients in the first 8 months of 2009 Figure 22: Import values and growth of import value of animal feed and feed ingredients from top 10 key markets in the first 8 months, 2008-2009 (US$ million, %) Figure 23: Share of animal feed and feed ingredients imported from Argentina in the first 8 months of 2008 Figure 24: Share of animal feed and feed ingredients imported from Argentina in the first 8 months of 2009 Figure 25: Vietnam’s export values of aquatic products by month, 2008-2009 (US$ million) Figure 26: Live hog price movements by month, 2008 – 2009 (VND/kg) Figure 27: Correlation between prices of Indian soybean meal, bran and pork in Ho Chi Minh City (Jan 2009 = 100%) Figure 28: Correlation between prices of Indian soybean meal, bran and pork in Hanoi market (Jan 2009 = 100%) Figure 29: Correlation between average domestic corn prices and those of the world by month, 2008-2009 Figure 30: Weekly domestic rice bran prices, 2008-2009 (VND/kg) Figure 31: Domestic soybean prices in some main markets by month, 2008-2009 (VND/kg) Figure 32: Monthly USD/VND exchange rates of commercial banks by month, 2008-2009 Figure 33: Peru Fishmeal price for 65% pro (US$/ton) Figure 34: corn price at CBOT (UScent/bushel) Figure 35: Domestic whole grain corn price (VND/kg) Figure 36: Domestic rice bran price (VND/kg)
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