Vietnam's meat annual report in 2009 and outlook for 2010

Báo cáo Thịt & thực phẩm

VIETNAM’S MEAT ANNUAL REPORT IN 2009 AND OUTLOOK FOR 2010

Basic Information

Release date:
20/02/2010 for Vietnamese version

18/05/2010 for English version

• Price:

1,000,000 for Vietnamese version

2,000,000 VND for English version

Form of payment: Account transfer

For further information, kindly contact:

For being consulted about content: Commodity analysis department:
Mr. Đỗ Văn Hảo - Email: info@agro.gov.vn

For placing an order: Customer services department:

Ms. An Thu Hang - YM: banhang_agro
Tel: (84.4) 04.62.93.86.32 - 012.88.256.256 – Fax: (84.4) 39726949
Email: banhang_agro@yahoo.com

Vietnam’s meat annual report in 2009 and outlook for 2010 published by Agroinfo is intended to provide comprehensive and up-to-date analyses of factors affecting the domestic and global meat markets in 2009 and prospects for market trends in 2010.
· Meat production in Vietnam and the world
· Meat trade in Vietnam and the world
· Meat price and factors affecting meat price in 2009
· Outlook for meat market in 2010

Vietnam’s meat annual report in 2009 and outlook for 2010 will be a helpful reference for policymakers, international organizations, donors and the business community in drawing up business strategies. All the data presented in the report are obtained from publicized sources of reputable organizations including General Statistics Office, General Department of Vietnam Customs, Cultivation Department – Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development of Vietnam.

Online support

Customer service:
Tel: 04.62.93.86.32 - 012.88.256.256
Fax: 04.39726949
Email: banhang_agro@yahoo.com

TABLE OF CONTENTS

PART I: THE OUTSTANDING EVENTS IN 2009 8

1. The world. 8

2. Vietnam.. 8

PART II: WORLD MARKET.. 9

I. The world meat production and consumption. 9

1. Pork. 9

2. Beef. 10

3. Chicken. 12

II. Wolrd meat export-import 13

1. Pork. 13

2. Beef. 14

3. Chicken. 15

PART III: DOMESTIC MARKET.. 17

I. Meat and food supplies. 17

1. Growth of livestock sector. 17

2. International trade. 20

2.1 Fresh meat import 20
2.1.1 Meat import structure in 2009. 20
2.1.2 Meat import by month. 22
.1.3 Top 5 pork exporters into Vietnam. 23

2.2 Fresh meat export 25
2.2.1 Meat export structure in 2009. 25
2.2.2 Top 5 markets for pork export of Vietnam in 2009. 26

2.3 Processed meat export-import 28
2.3.1 Processed meat export 28
2.3.2 Processed meat import 30

II. Factors affect supplies and prices.

1. Animal feed. 31

1.1 The world price. 31
1.1.1 Soybean meal price. 31
1.1.2 Corn price. 32

1.2. Domestic price. 34

2. Breeding animal 35

3. Deasease. 36

4. Tax policy. 37

III. Price movements in 2009. 38

1. Pork. 38

2. Beef. 40

3. Chicken. 40

PART IV: OUTLOOK FOR MEAT AND FOOD MARKET.. 42

II. Domestic market 45

PART V: PLANS ON DEVELOPMENT OF 2010-LIVESTOCK SECTOR OF
MARD 47

I. Forecast on livestock in 2010. 47

II. Development plan in 2010. 48

1. Targets on 2010-livestock development 48

1.1 Oriented targets. 48

1.2 Specific targets. 48

2. Main solutions. 49

APPENDIX.. 50

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1. Livestock scale and sales output in the period 2008-2009. 18

Table 2. Meat export value of Vietnam, years 2008-2009 (US$ million) 25

Table 3. Processed meat export value and structure in the period 2008-2009 (US$ thousand) 29

Table 4. Processed meat import value and structure of Vietnam, in the period 2008-2009 30

Table 5. Heavy damage due to desease in 2008 - 2009. 36

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1: The world pork production and consumption (1,000 metric tonnes) 9

Figure 2: Market shares of main pork producers in 2009. 9

Figure 3: World beef production and consumption (1,000 tons) 10

Figure 4: Market shares of main beef producers in 2009. 11

Figure 5: The world chicken production and consumption (1,000 tons) 12

Figure 6: Market shares of main chicken producers in 2009. 12

Figure 7: Market shares of main pork exporters in 2009. 13

Figure 8: Market shares of main pork importers in 2009. 14

Figure 9: Market shares of main beef exporters in 2009. 15

Figure 10: Market shares of main importers in 2009. 15

Figure 11: Market shares of world’s main chicken exporters in 2009. 15

Figure 12: Market shares of the world chicken importers in 2009. 16

Figure 13. Structure of agriculture production value in the period 2006-2009 (%) 17

Figure 14. Yearly livestock production value (under constant 1994 prices) (VND billion) 18

Figure 15. Meat structure in 2009 (%) 19

Figure 16. Meat import structure in 2008 (%) 20

Figure 17. Meat import structure in 2009 (%) 21

Figure 18. Monthly fresh and frozen import value in the period 2008-2009 (US$ million) 22

Figure 19. Monthly beef, pork and poultru import value in 2009 (US$ million) 22

Figure 20. Market share of meat exporters to Vietnam in 2008 (%) 23

Figure 21. Market share of meat exporters to Vietnam in 2009 (%) 23

Figure 22. Meat export structure of large exporters into Vietnam in 2009(%) 24

Figure 23. 2008-meat export structure (%) 26

Figure 24. 2009-meat export structure (%) 26

Figure 25. Top countries in terms of pork import value of Vietnam in 2009 (US$ million) 26

Figure 26. Meat export market structure of Vietnam in 2008 (%) 27

Figure 27. Meat export market structure of Vietnam in 2009 (%) 28

Figure 28. Indian soybean meal price delivered at Bedi/Kandla port, years 2008 - 2009 (US$/ton) 31

Figure 29. Monthly Indian soybean meal price delivered at Bedi/Kandla port in 2009 (US$/ton) 31

Figure 30. Corn price movement on CBOT in 2009 (Uscent/bushel) 32

Figure 31. Corn price movements on CBOT by month in 2009 (Uscent/bushel) 33

Figure 32. Quarterly bran and corn kernel in An Giang, years 2008-2009. 34

Figure 33. Monthly bran and corn kernel price in An Giang in 2009 (VND/kg) 34

Figure 34. Quarterly piglet price in Tien Giang in 2009 (VND/kg) 35

Figure 35. Piglet price movement in Tien Giang in 2009 (VND/kg) 35

Figure 36. Pork price movements in 2 main markets in 2009 (VND/kg) 38

Figure 37. Correlation in price increase between Indian soybean meal, Chicago corn and Hanoi pork (Jan 2009 = 100%) 39

Figure 38. Correlation in price increase between Indian soybean meal, Chicago corn and HCMC pork (Jan 2009 = 100%) 39

Figure 39. Silverside beef movement in 2 main markets in 2009 (VND/kg) 40

Figure 40. Price movements of original chicken and industrial chicken carcass in HCMC and Hanoi, years 2008-2009 (VND/kg) 40

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