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Báo cáo thường niên Thịt và Thực phẩm 2008 và Triển vọng 2009 (TA)|VIETNAM MEAT AND FOOD MARKET IN 2008 AND OUTLOOK FOR 2009
     
VIETNAM MEAT AND FOOD MARKET IN 2008 AND OUTLOOK FOR 2009

Having released the reports “Meat and foodstuffs for 6 months” and “Meat and foodstuff consumption”, Information Centre for Agriculture and Rural Development continues to introduce “Vietnam Meat and Food market in 2008 and outlook for 2009”. This is the first annual report on the meat and foodstuff sector compiled and published by the Information Centre for Agriculture and Rural Development - Institute of Policy and Strategy for Agriculture and Rural Development. Also, for the first time in Vietnam, such a report of this kind has presented the most comprehensive and updated analyses on the factors affecting the market of meat and foodstuffs in 2008, its prospects and trends in 2009.
• Per capita/per household consumer demand for meat and foodstuffs by volume and by value.
• Growth of the livestock sector in 2008.
• Domestic price movements.
• Factors affecting consumer demand and supply of meat and foodstuffs.
• Vietnam’s meat import-export changes in 2008
• Outlook for 2009: supply - demand – price of meat and foodstuffs.
All of the information and data in this report have been obtained from reputable local and foreign sources as follows: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development, General Statistics Office, General Department of Vietnam Customs, Reports on agricultural production in 2008 by provincial Departments of Agriculture and Rural Development, and others.
“Vietnam Meat and Food market in 2008 and outlook for 2009” is a useful reference intended for either central or grass-root policy makers, international organizations, donors, and especially the business community in the formation of appropriate development strategies for their business.
Basic Information

Release date:
11/05/2009 for Vietnamese version

11/06/2009 for English version

Page: 78 pages

• Price:
1,000,000 for Vietnamese version

2,000,000 VND for English version

Form of payment: Account transfer

For further information, kindly contact:

For being consulted about content:
Commodity analysis department:
Ms. Bui Minh Nguyet - Email:
info@agro.gov.vn

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Customer service:
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Fax: 04.39726949
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TABLE OF CONTENTS

CONTENTS

LIST OF TABLES

LIST OF FIGURES

LIST OF TABLES IN THE APPENDIX

ABBREVIATIONS

PART I: MARKET

I. DEMAND-SUPPLY OF MEAT AND FOODSTUFFS

1. Per capita meat consumption

1.1. Consumer volume

1.2. Consumer value

2. Household consumption of some types of fresh and processed meat products

II. SUPPLY OF MEAT AND FOODSTUFFS

1. Growth of the livestock sector

2. International trade

2.1. Import of fresh meats

2.1.1. Growth and structure of imported meats in 2008

2.1.2. The structure of meat import of by month in 2008

2.1.3. Top 5 exporters of meat to Vietnam in 2008

2.2. Export of fresh meats

2.2.1. Growth and structure of meat export in 2008

2.2.2. Top 5 major importers of Vietnamese meat in 2008

2.3. Export of processed meats

2.3.1. Import of processed meats

2.3.2. Export of processed meats

III. PRICE

1. Fresh food prices

1.1. Pork

1.2. Beef

1.3. Chicken meat

2. Prices of meat-based products

PART II: FACTORS AFFECTING SUPPLY-DEMAND-PRICE

I. SEVERAL FACTORS AFFECTING DEMAND

1. Epidemic diseases and the issue of safe food consumption

2. The habit of choosing distribution channels

3. Food consumer behavior

4. Impacts of price on consumer behavior

II. SEVERAL FACTORS AFFECTING SUPPLY

1. Animal feed

2. Feeder

3. Epidemic diseases and the weather

4. Tax policies

5. Interest rate and exchange rate

PART III: FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND SOME POLICIES ON FOOD SAFETY AND HYGIENE

I. FOREIGN INVESTMENT

II. POLICIES ON FOOD SAFETY AND HYGIENE

PART IV: THE DEVELOPMENT PLAN FOR THE LIVESTOCK SECTOR IN 2009 PROPOSED BY MARD

I. LIVESTOCK PERSPECTIVES FOR 2009

II. LIVESTOCK DEVELOPMENT PLAN FOR 2009

1. The goal of livestock development for 2009

1.1. Some general targets

1.2. Specific targets

2. Key solutions

3. Priority contents and programs for 2009

PART V: MARKET PROSPECTS FOR 2009

I. WORLD MARKET

1. Pork

2. Beef

3. Chicken meat

II. DOMESTIC MARKET

MARKET DATA

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1: Production of meats in 2006 – 2008

Table 2: Import turnovers of beef, pork and poultry meat by month in 2008

Table 3: Turnover and turnover growth of meat import of several countries (US$ million)

Table 4: Turnover and export structure of Vietnamese meat by category in 2007-2008

Table 5: Import turnover of bovine meat, pork and poultry meat of Vietnam’s meat importers in 2007-2008 (US$)

Table 6: Turnover and structure of processed meat import in Vietnam in 2007-2008

Table 7: Turnover and export structure of Vietnamese processed meat in 2007-2008

Table 8: Pork price movements in some main markets

Table 9: Price movements of silverside in some main markets (VND/kg)

Table 10: Price movements of ready-to-cook chicken in the markets of Hanoi and Lam Dong in 2007-2008 (VND/kg)

Table 11: Quarterly changes in feeder pig price in the market of Tien Giang in 2008

Table 12: Losses caused by natural disasters and epidemic diseases in 2008

Table 13: The roadmap for Vietnam’s commitments to reducing import duties on meat in 2007-2008

Table 14: Foreign investors in the livestock raising and animal feed industry (up to July 2008)

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1: Average monthly volume of pork consumed by residence (kg/person)

Figure 2: Average monthly consumer volume of bovine meat by residence (kg/person)

Figure 3: Average monthly consumer volume of chicken meat by residence (kg/person)

Figure 4: Differences between average monthly consumer values of meats by residence (number of times)

Figure 5: Fresh beef consumption frequency of households in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City (unit: %)

Figure 6: Comparison of consumption frequency of fresh pork between households in Hanoi and those in Ho Chi Minh City (percentage of respondents)

Figure 7: The structure of agricultural production values in 2007-2008 (%)

Figure 8: Growth rate of the livestock sector by quarter in 2006-2008 (Unit: %)

Figure 9: The structure of kinds of meat in 2006-2008 (Unit: %)

Figure 10: The structure of import values of fresh and frozen meats in 2007 (%)

Figure 11: The structure of import values of fresh and frozen meats in 2008 (%)

Figure 12: Import turnover of fresh and frozen meats by month in 2008 (US$ million)

Figure 13: Vietnam’s top exporters in terms of export turnover of meat in 2008 (US$ million)

Figure 14: Turnover growth of 5 major exporters of meat to Vietnam in 2008 (%)

Figure 15: Meat export structure of 5 major exporters of meat to Vietnam by category in 2008 (%)

Figure 16: Market share structure of major exporters of meat to Vietnam in 2007 (%)

Figure 17: Market share structure of major exporters of meat to Vietnam in 2008 (%)

Figure 18: The countries with largest import turnover of Vietnamese meat in 2008 (US$ million)

Figure 19: Turnover growth of 5 major importers of Vietnamese meat in 2008 (%)

Figure 20: Market share structure of Vietnam’s major importers of meat in 2007 (%)

Figure 21: Market share structure of Vietnam’s major importers of meat in 2008 (%)

Figure 22: The correlation between price increases of over-80-kg live hog and those of hams in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City

Figure 23: Weekly movements of live hog price in 2008 (VND/kg)

Figure 24: Weekly movements of hams price in 2008 (VND/kg)

Figure 25: The correlation between price movements of animal feed, feed ingredients and over-80-kg live hog (January 2008=100%)

Figure 26: Monthly movements of silverside price in 2008 (VND/kg)

Figure 27: The correlation between price increases of hams and those of silverside in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City

Figure 28: The correlation between cow feed ingredient prices and beef prices in the market (January 2008 = 100%)

Figure 29: Monthly price movements of ready-to-cook original chicken in 2007-2008 (VND/kg)

Figure 30: Monthly price movements of ready-to-cook industrial chicken in 2007-2008 (VND/kg)

Figure 31: The correlation between price movements of live chicken, ready-to-cook chicken and bran in the market (January 2008=100)

Figure 32: Impacts of epidemic diseases on consumer behavior (percentage of respondents)

Figure 33: Criteria of a food product which make consumers believe that it is organic and safe (unit: ratings given by consumers)

Figure 34: Traditional markets still being the most important channel for the consumption of fresh foodstuffs at present (percentage of respondents)

Figure 35: The consumption frequency of fresh foodstuffs of households in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City (percentage of respondents)

Figure 36: The consumption frequency of some kinds of processed foodstuffs through surveys in the markets of Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City (percentage of respondents)

Figure 37: Food consumers changing their habits due to impacts of price increases (unit: percentage of respondents)

Figure 38: The reduction in volume or the increase in spending for some main foodstuffs to cope with rising consumer prices (% compared with normal consumption)

Figure 39: Price movements of Indian soybean meal delivered at Bedi/Kandla port in 2008 (US$/ton)

Figure 40: Corn price movements on Chicago futures market – USA (Uscent/bushel)

Figure 41: Price movements of world feed ingredients in 2008 (January 2008=100%)

Figure 42: Monthly movements of feeder pig price in the market of Tien Giang in 2008 (VND/kg)

Figure 43: Movements of the basic interest rate in 2008 (%/year)

Figure 44: The VND-USD exchange rate on the interbank market

Figure 45: The structure of foreign investment in the agricultural sector in the 1988-2005 period

Figure 46: Estimated pork outputs of the world’s major producers for 2009 (million tons)

Figure 47: Estimated beef outputs of the world’s major producers for 2009 (million tons)

Figure 48: Estimated outputs of broilers of the world’s major producers for 2009 (million tons)

LIST OF TABLES IN THE APPENDIX

Table 1: Average monthly consumed volume of meat by residence (kg/person)

Table 2: Average monthly consumer value of meat by residence (VND 1000/person)

Table 3: The consumption frequency of fresh pork of households in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City (percentage of respondents)

Table 4: Production value of the agriculture sector in 2006-2008 (constant 1994 prices – VND billion)

Table 5: Quarterly production values of the livestock sector in 2006-2008 (constant 1994 prices – VND billion)

Table 6: Livestock raising of the whole country in 2006-2008 (thousand heads)

Table 7: Turnover and the structure of imports of fresh, chilled or frozen meat in 2007-2008 (US$ thousand)

Table 8: Turnover and turnover growth of five major exporters of meat to Vietnam in 2008 (US$ million)

Table 9: Export turnovers of bovine meat, pork, and poultry meat of major exporters of meat to Vietnam in 2007-2008 (US$ thousand)

Table 10: Turnover and turnover growth of Vietnam’s 10 major meat importers in 2008 (US$ million)

Table 11: Monthly prices of over-80-kg live hog in some markets

Table 12: Monthly prices of hams in some markets

Table 13: Monthly movements between the price of feed ingredients and the price of animal feed in 2008

Table 14: Monthly prices of silverside in some markets in 2008

Table 15: Movements between the price of feed ingredients for cows and beef price in the market (January 2008=100%)

Table 16: Prices of ready-to-cook chickens in Hanoi and Lam Dong in 2007 – 2008 (VND/kg)

Table 17: Movements between the price of live chicken, the price of ready-to-cook chicken and that of bran in the market (January 2008=100)

Table 18: The proportion of consumers previously buying foodstuffs at these following sites out of the total respondents (%)

Table 19: The reduction in volume or the increase in spending on some main foodstuffs to cope with rising consumer prices (% compared with normal consumption)

Table 20: The price of Indian soybean meal for immediate delivery at Bedi/Kandla port (US$/ton), monthly prices of corn on Chicago market – USA (Uscent/bushel) in 2008

Table 21: The price of feeder pig in Tien Giang in 2008

Table 22: Changes of the basic interest rate in 2008 (%/year)

Table 23: The VND/US$ exchange rate on the interbank market

Table 24: Estimated outputs, exports and imports of pork of the world in 2009 (US$ million)

Table 25: Estimated output, exports and imports of bovine meat of the world for 2009 (US$ million)

Table 26: Estimated outputs, exports and imports of broilers of the world for 2009 (US$ million)



     

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